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- Title
The Range Conception of Probability and the Input Problem.
- Authors
Roberts, John
- Abstract
Abrams, Rosenthal, and Strevens have recently presented interpretations of the objective probabilities posited by some scientific theories that build on von Kries's idea of identifying probabilities with ranges of values in a space of possible states. These interpretations face a problem, forcefully pointed out by Rosenthal, about how to determine 'input probabilities.' I argue here that Abrams's and Strevens's attempts to solve this problem do not succeed. I also argue that the problem can be solved by recognizing the possibility of laws of nature that manifest themselves not as universal regularities, but instead as constraints on relative frequencies.
- Subjects
VON Kries, Johannes; PROBABILITY theory; MATHEMATICS; ARITHMETIC mean; CENTER (Mathematics)
- Publication
Journal for General Philosophy of Science, 2016, Vol 47, Issue 1, p171
- ISSN
0925-4560
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s10838-015-9318-4