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- Title
The Northern Sea Route: problems and development potential in international transport corridors system.
- Authors
GUTMAN, Svetlana; KONNIKOV, Evgenii; KUZNETSOV, Roman
- Abstract
The article describes the possible ways of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) development and lays out the main factors affecting the NSR cargo carriage volume. The purpose of the study is to identify how the NSR cargo carriage volume depends on endogenous and exogenous factors and to elaborate recommendations for further development of the NSR. A conceptual model based on endogenous and exogenous variables was built within the framework of the study. The variables for the model were chosen as follows: an endogenous variable Y - the NSR cargo carriage volume (in thousand of tons); and groups of exogenous variables: 1) competition factors, 2) socio-economic factors, including: indicators of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation Arctic Zone regions (RFAZ) and 3) factors affecting cargo carriage efficiency. In Competition factors it was include: Suez Canal cargo carriage volume stimated in thousand tonnels (ton.) and the Trans-Siberian Railway (TSR) cargo carriage volume. The Socio-economic factors include: population of the RFAZ stimated in thousand people; gross regional product of the RFAZ, (million Rubles); the average monthly salary of employees working in organizations that operate in the RFAZ expressed in Rubles and the volume of investment in fixed assets in the RFAZ, also stimated in million rubles and the percentage rate of unemployment in the RFAZ. The Factors affecting cargo carriage efficiency include average tariff for icebreaking fleet services calculated in Dollars ($) per ton; number of Russian icebreakers in units of operation; the minimum ice cover in the Arctic stimated in million of square Kilometers (km2) and the average annual price of Brent crude in $ per barrel. The analysis conducted showed that the factors from the last group -factors affecting the efficiency of cargo transportation- are the most influential factors. Within these factors, the most important are: the average tariff for icebreaker fleet services stimated in $/ton., the number of units of Russian icebreakers in operation, and finally the minimum ice cover in the Arctic in million/km2.
- Subjects
SUEZ Canal (Egypt); NORTHEAST Passage; MARITIME shipping; SHIPPING containers; ICE sheets
- Publication
Revista Espacios, 2019, Vol 40, Issue 25, p1
- ISSN
0798-1015
- Publication type
Article