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- Title
Do US City Crime Rates Follow a National Trend? The Influence of Nationwide Conditions on Local Crime Patterns.
- Authors
McDowall, David; Loftin, Colin
- Abstract
This study considers the degree to which the crime rates of US cities follow a uniform national trend. A nationwide trend has consequences for theories that explain aggregate changes in crime, but how closely subnational units hold to a common time path has received almost no research attention. Using annual panel data, the current study presents analyses that attempt to measure the correspondence between city-level and national-level crime rates. The results of each analysis are consistent with a clear single pattern that operates across the nation’s major urban areas. This supports the idea that a meaningful national trend exists, and it suggests the desirability of continuing efforts to explain it.
- Subjects
UNITED States; TRENDS; CITIES &; towns; METROPOLITAN areas; REGIONAL disparities in crime; CRIMINOLOGICAL research; STATISTICS
- Publication
Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 2009, Vol 25, Issue 3, p307
- ISSN
0748-4518
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s10940-009-9071-0