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- Title
Seasonality and Industrial Production in Uganda.
- Authors
Mugambe, Gloria Kempaka; Reilly, Barry
- Abstract
This paper explores the seasonal dimension of industrial production activity in Uganda using monthly data covering the period 1987 to 2000. Unit root tests and structural time series modelling are used to ascertain the nature of the seasonal component. The evidence in support of stochastic seasonality is not found to be overwhelming. In treating the seasonal effects as deterministic we find, in contrast to the existing evidence from industrialized economies, only a small part of the total variation in output is explained by seasonal factors suggesting a greater role for cyclical and random factors. However, there is some casual empirical evidence suggesting that industrial activity is related to weather conditions.
- Subjects
UGANDA; ECONOMIC seasonal variations; INDUSTRIAL productivity; INDUSTRIES; BUSINESS &; weather; UGANDAN economy
- Publication
African Development Review / Revue Africaine de Développement, 2007, Vol 19, Issue 3, p501
- ISSN
1017-6772
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1111/j.1467-8268.2007.00173.x