We found a match
Your institution may have access to this item. Find your institution then sign in to continue.
- Title
Arriving on Time.
- Authors
Fan, Y. Y.; Kalaba, R. E.; Moore, J. E.
- Abstract
This research proposes a procedure for identifying dynamic routing policies in stochastic transportation networks. It addresses the problem of maximizing the probability of arriving on time. Given a current location (node), the goal is to identify the next node to visit so that the probability of arriving at the destination by time or sooner is maximized, given the probability density functions for the link travel times. The Bellman principle of optimality is applied to formulate the mathematical model of this problem. The unknown functions describing the maximum probability of arriving on time are estimated accurately for a few sample networks by using the Picard method of successive approximations. The maximum probabilities can be evaluated without enumerating the network paths. The Laplace transform and its numerical inversion are introduced to reduce the computational cost of evaluating the convolution integrals that result from the successive approximation procedure.
- Subjects
TRAVEL time (Traffic engineering); DYNAMIC programming; PROBABILITY theory; MATHEMATICAL optimization; STOCHASTIC analysis; MATHEMATICAL models; MATHEMATICAL functions; APPROXIMATION theory; MATHEMATICAL combinations
- Publication
Journal of Optimization Theory & Applications, 2005, Vol 127, Issue 3, p497
- ISSN
0022-3239
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s10957-005-7498-5