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- Title
Trade Effects of US-China Tariff Hikes: An Econometric Analysis.
- Authors
Doifode, Akash; Narayanan, Badri G.
- Abstract
This paper empirically studies the effect of tariffs imposed by the US and China on exports until January 2020. We use a CARD trade war tariffs dataset and UNCTAD TRAINS dataset for tariffs data before trade war along with monthly trade data from the US Census. Using the fixed effect panel data model, we find that there is a significant negative impact of tariffs imposed on the export values of both the countries. We also note that the effect of tariff imposed by China on US export values is more than the effect of tariff imposed by the US on China's exports. On average, for a one percentage point rise in the tariff rate, the US exports to China may fall by 1.6 times more than Chinese exports to it.
- Subjects
CHINA; TARIFF; TRADING cards; PANEL analysis; INTERNATIONAL trade disputes; BUSINESS cards; DATA modeling
- Publication
Artha Vijnana, 2021, Vol 63, Issue 2, p183
- ISSN
0971-586X
- Publication type
Article