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- Title
PROBLEMS OF PREDICTION OF DELINQUENCY AND RELATED CONDITIONS OVER A SEVEN-YEAR PERIOD.
- Authors
Thurston, John R.; Benning, James J.; Feldhusen, John F.
- Abstract
This paper examines some major shortcomings and errors of previous research on the prediction of delinquency and the related conditions of personal and social adjustment, health problems, welfare contacts, and achievement in school. In the Eau Claire County Youth Study a large number of behavioral observations of 1,550 children were conducted in 1961 and 1962. The first problem which shall be noted in this field of research is the paucity of true longitudinal studies. A second major problem generally noted in delinquency research involves the analysis of predictor variables one at a time, with no provision for assessment of interrelationships among predictors. Another problem involves criteria. If tests B, C, D, E, F, and G are all individually correlated with the delinquency criterion Z, then multiple regression analysis makes it possible to combine their predictive power.
- Subjects
EAU Claire County (Wis.); WISCONSIN; SOCIAL science research; CRIME forecasting; JUVENILE delinquency; SOCIAL adjustment; LONGITUDINAL method; MULTIPLE regression analysis
- Publication
Criminology, 1971, Vol 9, Issue 2/3, p154
- ISSN
0011-1384
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1111/j.1745-9125.1971.tb00764.x