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- Title
Testing for volatility interactions in the Constant Conditional Correlation GARCH model.
- Authors
Nakatani, Tomoaki; Teräsvirta, Timo
- Abstract
In this paper, we propose a Lagrange multiplier test for volatility interactions among markets or assets. The null hypothesis is the Constant Conditional Correlation generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model in which volatility of an asset is described only through lagged squared innovations and volatility of its own. The alternative hypothesis is an extension of that model in which volatility is modelled as a linear combination not only of its own lagged squared innovations and volatility but also of those in the other equations while keeping the conditional correlation structure constant. This configuration enables us to test for volatility transmissions among variables in the model. Monte Carlo experiments show that the proposed test has satisfactory finite-sample properties. The size distortions become negligible when the sample size reaches 2500. The test is applied to pairs of foreign exchange returns and individual stock returns. Results indicate that there seem to be volatility interactions in the pairs considered, and that significant interaction effects typically result from the lagged squared innovations of the other variables.
- Subjects
ESTIMATION theory; MATHEMATICAL models of economic forecasting; ARCH model (Econometrics); AUTOREGRESSION (Statistics); MARKET volatility; FINANCIAL markets; INTERNATIONAL finance; FOREIGN exchange rate risk; PUBLIC finance
- Publication
Econometrics Journal, 2009, Vol 12, Issue 1, p147
- ISSN
1368-4221
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1111/j.1368-423X.2008.00261.x