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- Title
Statistical Modelling of Water Quantity in the Porsuk Dam.
- Authors
Altin, Arzu; Cemrek, Fatih; Ozaydin, Ozer
- Abstract
In this study, daily water quantity data in the Porsuk Dam which is taken from State Hydraulic Works (SHW) 3rd Regional Directorate, reaching during January 1992-November 2005 was examined. Then, monthly average values were determined by using these daily data and analyzed through Box-Jenkins method. ARIMA (1,1,1) model was found appropriate to forecast the amount of water in the Porsuk Dam. A forecast related to water quantity which comes to the dam for 12-months is realized. In December 2004, monthly average water quantity reaching to the Dam was 256.000 m³ and it is forecasted as 360.590 m³. In November 2005, monthly average water quantity reaching was 244.270 m³, and it is forecasted to be 206.560 m³.
- Subjects
TURKEY; WATER; DAMS; BOX-Jenkins forecasting; PORSUK Site (Turkey)
- Publication
Ekoloji Dergisi, 2008, Vol 17, Issue 67, p52
- ISSN
1300-1361
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.5053/ekoloji.2008.678