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- Title
PERSPECTIVAS DA PRODUÇÃO EDITORIAL BRASILEIRA: UM ESTUDO PRELIMINAR ATRAVÉS DE MODELOS DE SÉRIES TEMPORAIS.
- Authors
Assis de Salles, André; Galvão de Souza, Carolina Maria
- Abstract
Studies related to the behaviour of economic sectors provide more excellent knowledge of expectations for the behaviour of an economy. The publishing sector involves an extensive production chain with interactions in various sectors of the economy. In addition, this sector generates relevant externalities for economic development since the dissemination of the reading habit is necessary for a nation's educational and intellectual development. The purpose of this work is to study the perspectives of the production of the Brazilian publishing market and to elaborate on a forecast model that allows obtaining future expectations for the performance of this sector. For this purpose, the billing series of the book publishing sector, available from 1995 to 2016, and the historical series of the category "books, newspapers, magazines and stationery" generated by IBGE were considered. The methodological approach of this work is based on the development of concepts and models of time series analysis. Thus, statistical tests of hypotheses were performed to examine the stationarity assumptions of the two-time series studied. In addition, the hypotheses of violating the basic assumptions of normality, homoscedasticity and no
- Subjects
STATISTICAL hypothesis testing; TIME series analysis; INTELLECTUAL development; SERIAL publication of books; ECONOMIC sectors; ECONOMIC expectations
- Publication
Revista Foco (Interdisciplinary Studies Journal), 2023, Vol 16, Issue 2, p1
- ISSN
1981-223X
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.54751/revistafoco.v16n2-098