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- Title
A North Atlantic synthetic tropical cyclone track, intensity, and rainfall dataset.
- Authors
Xu, Wenwei; Balaguru, Karthik; Judi, David R.; Rice, Julian; Leung, L. Ruby; Lipari, Serena
- Abstract
Tropical Cyclones (TCs) cause significant socio-economic damages to the US and Caribbean coastal regions annually, making it important to understand TC risk at the local-to-regional scales. However, the short length of the observed record and the substantial computational expense associated with high-resolution climate models make it difficult to assess TC risk using either approach. To overcome these challenges, we developed a database of synthetic TCs using the Risk Analysis Framework for Tropical Cyclones (RAFT). The database includes 40,000 synthetic TC tracks, along-track intensities and storm-induced precipitation. TC tracks generated in RAFT are in reasonable agreement with the observed spatial distribution of TC tracks and basin-scale TC statistics. Specifically along the coast, spatial variations in TC crossing probability and extreme winds upon landfall are well-reproduced by RAFT with R-squared values of 0.81 and 0.73, respectively. In summary, the synthetic TC database constructed with RAFT provides a reasonable pathway for the robust assessment of North Atlantic TC wind and rainfall risks.
- Subjects
CYCLONE tracking; TROPICAL cyclones; RAINFALL; ATMOSPHERIC models; LANDFALL; DATABASES
- Publication
Scientific Data, 2024, Vol 11, Issue 1, p1
- ISSN
2052-4463
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1038/s41597-024-02952-7