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- Title
WHAT ARE SPILLOVER TRANSMISSION CHANNELS FROM CHINA'S MONETARY POLICY TO ASIA: BAYESIAN VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE APPROACH.
- Authors
TRINH, T. T. PHAM; NHAN, P. A. LE; MINH, T. H. VU; DAN, L. L. VO; MY, T. T. BUI; VINH, T. H. NGUYEN
- Abstract
This study employs Bayesian vector autoregressive method to investigate spillover effects from China's monetary policy to Asian economies through the exchange rate, domestic demand, and financial channels. The domestic demand channel plays dominant role to the transmission of China's monetary spillover. While the weak impact of the exchange rate channel could be explained by the positive correlated response of Asian currencies to renminbi shock, the limited influence of the financial channel is due to low financial development and high restrictions on capital flows of China. We suggest Asian authorities should reduce the export reliance on China and prepare macro-prudential instruments to minimize their economies' vulnerability to foreign shocks.
- Subjects
CHINA; MONETARY policy; CAPITAL movements; FOREIGN exchange rates; RENMINBI; ECONOMIC conditions in Asia; HARD currencies
- Publication
Singapore Economic Review, 2024, Vol 69, Issue 1, p813
- ISSN
0217-5908
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1142/S0217590821410071