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- Title
Integrated Real-Time Flood Forecasting and Inundation Analysis in Small–Medium Streams.
- Authors
Kim, Byunghyun; Choi, Seng Yong; Han, Kun-Yeun
- Abstract
This study presents the application of an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and one dimensional (1-D) and two dimensional (2-D) hydrodynamic models to improve the problems of hydrological models currently used for flood forecasting in small–medium streams of South Korea. The optimal combination of input variables (e.g., rainfall and water level) in ANFIS was selected based on a statistical analysis of the observed and forecasted values. Two membership functions (MFs) and two ANFIS rules were determined by the subtractive clustering (SC) approach in the processes of training and checking. The developed ANFIS was applied to Jungrang Stream and water levels for six lead times (0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, 2.5, and 3.0 hour) were forecasted. Based on point forecasted water levels by ANFIS, 1-D section flood forecast and 2-D spatial inundation analysis were carried out. This study demonstrated that the proposed methodology can forecast flooding based only on observed rainfall and water level without extensive physical and topographic data, and can be performed in real-time by integrating point- and section flood forecasting and spatial inundation analysis.
- Subjects
FLOOD forecasting; HYDRODYNAMICS; MATHEMATICAL models of hydrodynamics; WATER levels; MEMBERSHIP functions (Fuzzy logic)
- Publication
Water (20734441), 2019, Vol 11, Issue 5, p919
- ISSN
2073-4441
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3390/w11050919