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- Title
REGIONAL POWERS CAST LONG SHADOWS: ASEAN GRAPPLES WITH NEW DYNAMICS.
- Authors
DALPINO, CATHARIN
- Abstract
In the early months of 2022 the Russian invasion of Ukraine had a major, if indirect, impact on Southeast Asia and its relations with the major powers. Rising commodity prices and added disruptions in global supply chains caused by the invasion threatened to erase economic gains following the damage of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. ASEAN splintered in its response to the invasion, putting further strain on an institution already buckling under the worsening conflict in Myanmar. A year past the coup in Naypyidaw, the ASEAN Five-Point Consensus Plan has barely moved forward. Beijing's apparent, if cautious, support for Moscow following the invasion added new tensions in a region already on edge with growing Chinese assertiveness and a reinvigoration of US alliances. Chairing the G20 for the first time this year, Indonesia faces demands from the West to expel Russia from the group, a proposal that China vigorously opposes. The Ukraine conflict exacerbates ASEAN's fear of being caught between the West and China, but adds a new concern that the Asia-Pacific region might further nuclearize with the threat of a nuclear standoff between Russia and NATO.
- Subjects
RUSSIAN invasion of Ukraine, 2022-; RUSSIA-Ukraine Conflict, 2014-; COVID-19 pandemic; ASEAN; THERAPEUTIC alliance; MILITARY invasion; NUCLEAR accidents; SUPPLY chain disruptions; POWER (Social sciences)
- Publication
Comparative Connections: A Triannual E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations, 2022, Vol 24, Issue 1, p69
- ISSN
1930-5370
- Publication type
Article