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- Title
The Rise and Persistence of Illegal Crops: Evidence from a Naive Policy Announcement.
- Authors
Prem, Mounu; Vargas, Juan F.; Mejía, Daniel
- Abstract
Policies based on prohibition and repression to fight the war on drugs have largely failed in a variety of contexts. However, incentive-based policies may also fail and have unintended negative consequences if policymakers do not properly anticipate behavioral reactions. This is an particularly important concern in the case of policies announced prior to their implementation. In this paper, we show that a naive and untimely policy announcement generated an unprecedented escalation in cocaine production in Colombia, offsetting almost 20 years and billions of dollars of U.S.-backed efforts to stop drug production and cartel action.
- Subjects
COLOMBIA; DRUG cartels; DRUG control; CROPS; ANNOUNCEMENTS; MARIJUANA growing
- Publication
Review of Economics & Statistics, 2023, Vol 105, Issue 2, p344
- ISSN
0034-6535
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1162/rest_a_01059