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- Title
Türkiye'de Dış Ticaret Hadlerinin Altın, Gümüş, Dolar, Petrol ve Doğalgaz Fiyatları ile İlişkisi: Eş Bütünleşme Analizi.
- Authors
GÖÇER, Üyesi Şerife; DENİZ, Mehtap BULUT; BURSAL, Mücella
- Abstract
Trade relations between the countries increased and rapid changes occurred in the foreign trade figures of the countries cause of the globalization,. In this study; between the years 1997-2018 the effects of gold, silver, oil, dollar and natural gas prices on foreign trade in Turkey, were analyzed by time series analysis. The series of variables were determined to be linear by Harvey Linearity Test, and their stationarity was tested with Fourier ADF Unit Root Test. By using Maki co-integration test, the long-run relationships between the variables of import and export with gold, silver, dollar, oil and natural gas were examined. According to the results due to the use of fixed and trendy models in the analysis, it is concluded that there is a cointegration relationship from imports to dollars and there is no long-term relationship in other series.
- Subjects
TURKEY; INTERNATIONAL trade; TIME series analysis; NATURAL gas prices; INTERNATIONAL economic relations; NATURAL gas
- Publication
Bartin University Journal of Faculty of Economics & Administrative Sciences / Bartın Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 2019, Vol 10, Issue 20, p191
- ISSN
1309-954X
- Publication type
Article