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- Title
基于 SWAT 模型的水电站上游 流域径流及发电效益预测.
- Authors
阮 健
- Abstract
Different climatic environments have a significant impact on river runoff and the power generation benefit of hydropower stations. Based on the SWAT model,the study introduces different climatic and climatic conditions to establish a runoff prediction model. The experiment predicts the annual runoff in Shaoguan from 2030 to 2050,and it is found that the maximum value appears in the 2030 RCP2. 6 climate condition,which is 44. 05m ³ / s,while the minimum value appears in the 2050 RCP8. 5 climate condition,is 31. 85m³ / s. Predicting its power generation efficiency can find that from 2030 to 2050,its power generation is reduced by 14. 47% in the RCP4. 5 scenario,and by 15. 94% in the RCP8. 5 scenario. The prediction results can help the power station to adjust the power consumption plan in advance and improve its power supply efficiency.
- Subjects
RUNOFF models; POWER resources; PREDICTION models; RUNOFF; FORECASTING
- Publication
Water Conservancy Science & Techonlogy & Economy, 2023, Vol 29, Issue 4, p124
- ISSN
1006-7175
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3969/j.issn.1006-7175.2023.04.026