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- Title
How fallacious is the consequence fallacy?
- Authors
Wong, Wai-hung; Yudell, Zanja
- Abstract
Timothy Williamson argues against the tactic of criticizing confidence in a theory by identifying a logical consequence of the theory whose probability is not raised by the evidence. He dubs it 'the consequence fallacy'. In this paper, we will show that Williamson's formulation of the tactic in question is ambiguous. On one reading of Williamson's formulation, the tactic is indeed a fallacy, but it is not a commonly used tactic; on another reading, it is a commonly used tactic (or at least more often used than the former tactic), but it is not a fallacy.
- Subjects
WILLIAMSON, Timothy, 1955-; PROBABILITY theory; EVIDENCE; GAMBLER'S fallacy; GAME theory
- Publication
Philosophical Studies, 2013, Vol 165, Issue 1, p221
- ISSN
0031-8116
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s11098-012-9947-y