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- Title
Clinical Outcomes and Prognostic Factors in a Cohort of Adults With Cystic Fibrosis: A 7-Year Follow-Up Study.
- Authors
Silva Flores, Josani; Eidt Rovedder, Paula Maria; Ziegler, Bruna; Furlan Pinotti, Antonio Fernando; Saldanha Menna Barreto, Sérgio; de Tarso Roth Dalcin, Paulo
- Abstract
BACKGROUND: Due to the heterogeneity of cystic fibrosis (CF), the longer survival observed in cohorts of adult subjects, and inter-population variations, there is a clear need to seek further information about clinical outcomes and prognostic factors in different cohorts of subjects with CF. Our objectives were to evaluate clinical outcomes and prognostic factors in a cohort of adult subjects with CF after a 7-y follow-up period and investigate longitudinal changes in clinical scores, spirometry, 6-min walk test performance, and pulmonary artery systolic pressure as assessed by Doppler echocardiography. METHODS: A cohort of clinically stable subjects (≥16 y old) who were enrolled in an adult CF program in 2004-2005 underwent clinical evaluation. Outcome was classified as good (survival) or poor (survival with lung transplantation or death). In 2011-2012, survivors were re-examined. RESULTS: Of 40 subjects with CF evaluated in 2004-2005, 32 (80%) survived, 2 (5%) survived with lung transplantation, and 6 (15%) died. Logistic regression analysis showed that a low percent-of-predicted FEV1 was associated with poor outcome. An FEV1 cut-off value of ≤30% and pulmonary artery systolic pressure of ≥42 mm Hg predicted poor outcome with high sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. Deterioration was observed in clinical scores (P = .03), FVC (P = .02), FEV1 (P < .001), distance walked in the 6-min walk test (P = .002), baseline ... (P < .001), and final ... (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: After 7 y of follow-up, 20 % of subjects with CF had a poor outcome. Pulmonary artery systolic pressure of ≥42 mm Hg and FEV1of ≤30% were the most significant prognostic predictors of poor outcome. Clinical and functional deterioration was observed in survivors.
- Subjects
BRAZIL; CYSTIC fibrosis; BLOOD pressure; ECHOCARDIOGRAPHY; LONGITUDINAL method; PULMONARY artery; QUESTIONNAIRES; RESEARCH funding; RESPIRATORY measurements; SPIROMETRY; STATISTICS; T-test (Statistics); LOGISTIC regression analysis; PREDICTIVE tests; VITAL capacity (Respiration); RECEIVER operating characteristic curves; DATA analysis software; DESCRIPTIVE statistics; MANN Whitney U Test; ADULTS; PROGNOSIS
- Publication
Respiratory Care, 2016, Vol 61, Issue 2, p192
- ISSN
0020-1324
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.4187/respcare.04097