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- Title
Employing a Repeated Time Series Design to Evaluate Waiting Periods on Firearm Homicide and Suicide Rates.
- Authors
Carter, Chelsea; Mahoney, Amanda
- Abstract
Gun violence is a socially relevant topic and debatable public policy matter. This paper relies on behavioral science tools to contribute data-driven guidance for reviewing gun violence policies. The present study adopted a time-series design to measure state-level behavioral changes from 1994–2003 on firearm homicide and suicide rates pre-, during, and post-enforcement of the federal regulation (i.e., The Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act). The Brady Act, which took place from 1994–1998, enforced background checks and gun purchasing waiting periods for states that did not already have such in place. Luca et al. (2017) concluded through statistical analyses that gun purchasing waiting periods reduce gun homicides; however, Ludwig and Cook (2000) suggested that this was not the case. The present study explored visual analysis within a time-series design on a state-by-state basis and found that this type of analysis led to different conclusions than those found by Luca et al. (2017) and Ludwig and Cook (2000). The results indicate that differences in each state are possibly due to state regulations and socio-political variables, making the impact of the Brady Act challenging to analyze. Future research investigating effective firearm policies should consider employing repeated time-series designs and visual analysis to expand on trends that depend upon the policy's length.
- Subjects
HOMICIDE rates; SUICIDE statistics; FIREARM sales &; prices; TIME series analysis; SHOOTINGS (Crime)
- Publication
Behavior & Social Issues, 2022, Vol 31, Issue 1, p11
- ISSN
1064-9506
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s42822-021-00089-5