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- Title
Extrapolation Errors in IPOs.
- Authors
Xiao, Ying; Yung, Chris
- Abstract
We demonstrate that relatively high revenue growth prior to an initial public offering (IPO) is associated with high IPO prices and poor returns. In particular, low-growth IPO returns, −1% on a three-year annualized basis compared to −12% (equal-weighted) or −29% (value-weighted) for high-growth new issues. There is no evidence that the performance differentials reflect risk premia. Rather, low-growth firms' returns are more stable over time. Finally, while analysts' forecasts are upwardly biased for all firms, the magnitude of this bias is greatest for firms with rapid pre-IPO revenue growth. Overall, these results are consistent with the extrapolation errors model suggested by Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny (1994).
- Subjects
GOING public (Securities); RISK premiums; EXTRAPOLATION; PERFORMANCE evaluation; ECONOMIC forecasting
- Publication
Financial Management (Wiley-Blackwell), 2015, Vol 44, Issue 4, p713
- ISSN
0046-3892
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1111/fima.12093