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- Title
Definition source of error prediction for unauthorized access to information networks of the state.
- Authors
V., Dudykevich; I., Opirskyy
- Abstract
This article examines and identifies the sources of error prediction of unauthorized access to the information network of the state. It is proved that one of the sources of errors in terms of monitored parameters is the error's value changed interval of the observed realization of a random process along with the changes in the state within network time. This source of error can be determine if a solution to prediction problem is found in general. Assuming that the length of the implementation is quite accurate and its extrapolation is carried out without errors, the method of solving the equation is considered as the source of error. Sources of errors arising in the first stage (the extrapolation step). in turn, can be divided into two groups. The first group is connected with the functional value, namely the imperfection of the object model, the incompleteness or inaccuracy of the quantitative of the characteristics describing the objective relations within the researched process. The second group of error arises at the extrapolation step, and occurs when the functional extrapolation is quite accurate as well as the output section of realization is observed without errors. Thus, a stochastic nature of the problem is the cause of these errors. The analysis identifies the key potential problems that should be in order to ensure the high reliability of the forecast that in turn, can be used to enhance prediction of unauthorized networks of the state.
- Subjects
INFORMATION networks; EXTRAPOLATION; DATA transmission systems; APPROXIMATION theory; INFORMATION storage &; retrieval systems
- Publication
Ukrainian Scientific Journal of Information Security, 2016, Vol 22, Issue 1, p7
- ISSN
2225-5036
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.18372/2225-5036.22.10447