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- Title
Connections between the Dry Bulk Freight Index and the Cyclical Economic Activity of the G7 Countries.
- Authors
Wagner, Natalia
- Abstract
The article analyses the connections between the dry bulk freight market and the economic activity of certain countries. The objective was to confirm the existence of a similar cyclical nature for the Baltic Dry Index and main indicators of the business cycle of the G7 countries. The applied macroeconomic variables were: the real GDP and the industrial production index. In examination a spectral analysis was used. The discovered identical periodicities were analyzed in terms of time relations. It was demonstrated, that the cyclical part of the BDI (periodicity of 13.1 and 15.3 quarters) either leads or is coincident with the indicators of the business cycle. The global financial crisis in 2008-2009 showed that the behaviour of freight indices was similar to stock exchange indices and macroeconomic variables in advanced economies. It is worth to observe shipping market because higher values of freight indices could anticipate increasing demand for sea trade and economic growth.
- Subjects
MARITIME shipping; BUSINESS cycles; ECONOMIC activity; FREIGHT &; freightage; GROUP of Seven countries; ECONOMIC history
- Publication
Logistics & Transport / Logistyka i Transport, 2015, Vol 25, Issue 1, p71
- ISSN
1734-2015
- Publication type
Article