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- Title
Large Immigration Flows Could Help Offset Declines In Developed Populations.
- Authors
Hollander, D.
- Abstract
Because of low fertility and increased longevity, the populations of most developed countries are likely to become smaller and older by the year 2050. As the size of the working-age population shrinks relative to the size of the population aged 65 and older, these societies could suffer profound economic, social and political consequences. International migration could help stem both overall declines and declines in the size of working-age populations, but the volume of immigration needed to maintain current population sizes varies widely and in many cases would entail substantial increases over recent or expected levels. The study focused on eight countries and two regions whose fertility levels are below replacement level: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Republic of Korea, the Russian Federation, the Great Britain, the United States, Europe and the European Union. In the late 1990s, the total fertility rate in these countries and regions ranged from 1.2 to 2.0 births per woman. Five countries (France, Germany, Italy, Korea and the Great Britain) had populations of less than 100 million in 1995, two (Japan and Russia) had populations of about 125-150 million, and the United States had a population of about 270 million. Overall, Europe's population was around 725 million, and that of the European Union was about 375 million.
- Subjects
UNITED States; EMIGRATION &; immigration; DEVELOPED countries; POPULATION; FERTILITY; LONGEVITY; EUROPEAN Union
- Publication
Family Planning Perspectives, 2000, Vol 32, Issue 3, p147
- ISSN
0014-7354
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.2307/2648166