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- Title
Temperature extremes nip invasive macrophyte Cabomba caroliniana A. Gray in the bud: potential geographic distributions and risk assessment based on future climate change and anthropogenic influences.
- Authors
Xiaoqing Xian; Yuhan Qi; Haoxiang Zhao; Jingjing Cao; Tao Jia; Nianwan Yang; Fanghao Wan; Weyl, Philip; Wan-xue Liu
- Abstract
Cabomba caroliniana A. Gray, an ornamental submerged plant indigenous to tropical America, has been introduced to numerous countries in Europe, Asia, and Oceania, impacting native aquatic ecosystems. Given this species is a popular aquarium plant and widely traded, there is a high risk of introduction and invasion into other environments. In the current study the potential global geographic distribution of C. caroliniana was predicted under the effects of climate change and human influence in an optimisedMaxEntmodel. The model used rigorously screened occurrence records of C. caroliniana fromhydro informatic datasets and 20 associated influencing factors. The findings indicate that temperature and human-mediated activities significantly influenced the distribution of C. caroliniana. At present, C. caroliniana covers an area of approximately 1531×104 km² of appropriate habitat, especially in the south-eastern parts of South, central and North America, Southeast Asia, eastern Australia, and most of Europe. The suitable regions are anticipated to expand under future climate scenarios; however, the dynamics of the changes vary between different extents of climate change. For example, C. caroliniana is expected to expand to higher latitudes, following global temperature increases under SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 scenarios, however, intolerance to temperature extremes may mediate invasion at higher latitudes under future extreme climate scenarios, e.g., SSP5-8.5. Owing to the severe impacts its invasion causes, early warning and stringent border quarantine processes are required to guard against the introduction of C. caroliniana especially in the invasion hotspots such as, Peru, Italy, and South Korea.
- Subjects
EFFECT of human beings on climate change; MACROPHYTES; CLIMATE extremes; RISK assessment; ORNAMENTAL plants; POTAMOGETON; TEMPERATURE
- Publication
Frontiers in Plant Science, 2024, p1
- ISSN
1664-462X
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3389/fpls.2024.1393663