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- Title
Türkiye'de Mala Karşı Suçların Sosyoekonomik Belirleyicileri Üzerine Bir Deneme: Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı (1970-2007).
- Authors
Aksu, Hayati; Akkuş, Yakup
- Abstract
In this article, the effects of the socio-economic factors on the property crimes in Turkey between 1970 and 2007 are analyzed. The econometric model employed for the analysis utilizes inflation rate, unemployment rate and real per capita income as economic variables and the schooling ratio of secondary education as a social variable. The crime model is estimated for Turkey by using Bounds Testing Approach unlike the preceding studies for the first time. The results designate a long term relation (cointegration) between socio-economic factors and property crimes. Short term and long term estimates are in line with each other. It is also found that property crimes in Turkey are affected positively by inflation, unemployment and schooling ratio of secondary education and negatively affected by real per capita income. The most important factor that affects the property crimes is found out as real per capita income in short term as well as long term. Hence, it is concluded that the policies implemented to increase the real per capita income (economic growth) are expected to decrease the property crimes.
- Subjects
TURKEY; ESSAYS; EFFECT of inflation on income; ECONOMIC forecasting; ECONOMIC impact; ECONOMETRICS; ECONOMIC development; COINTEGRATION; TIME series analysis
- Publication
Sosyoekonomi, 2010, Vol 11, Issue 1, p191
- ISSN
1305-5577
- Publication type
Essay