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- Title
Sensitivity Study of WRF Numerical Modeling for Forecasting Heavy Rainfall in Sri Lanka.
- Authors
Rodrigo, Channa; Kim, Sangil; Jung, Il Hyo
- Abstract
This study aimed to determine the predictability of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with different model physics options to identify the best set of physics parameters for predicting heavy rainfall events during the southwest and northeast monsoon seasons. Two case studies were used for the evaluation: heavy precipitation during the southwest monsoon associated with the simultaneous onset of the monsoon, and a low pressure system over the southwest Bay of Bengal that produced heavy rain over most of the country, with heavy precipitation associated with the northeast monsoon associated with monsoon flow and easterly disturbances. The modeling results showed large variation in the rainfall estimated by the model using the various model physics schemes, but several corresponding rainfall simulations were produced with spatial distribution aligned with rainfall station data, although the amount was not estimated accurately. Moreover, the WRF model was able to capture the rainfall patterns of these events in Sri Lanka, suggesting that the model has potential for operational use in numerical weather prediction in Sri Lanka.
- Subjects
SRI Lanka; METEOROLOGICAL research; RAINFALL probabilities; MONSOONS; EL Nino
- Publication
Atmosphere, 2018, Vol 9, Issue 10, p378
- ISSN
2073-4433
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.3390/atmos9100378