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- Title
Investigating the Utility of Using Cross-Oceanic Training Sets for Superensemble Forecasting of Eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity.
- Authors
Jordan II, Mark R.; Krishnamurti, T. N.; Clayson, Carol Anne
- Abstract
This paper examines how combining training-set forecasts from two separate oceanic basins affects the resulting tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts in a particular oceanic basin. Atlantic and eastern Pacific training sets for 2002 and 2003 are combined and used to forecast 2004 eastern Pacific tropical cyclones in a real-time setting. These experiments show that the addition of Atlantic training improves the 2004 eastern Pacific forecasts. Finally, a detailed study of training-set and real-time model biases is completed in an effort to determine why cross-oceanic training may have helped in this instance.
- Subjects
RESEARCH; WEATHER forecasting; OCEANOGRAPHY; OCEAN-atmosphere interaction; TROPICAL cyclones
- Publication
Weather & Forecasting, 2008, Vol 23, Issue 3, p516
- ISSN
0882-8156
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1175/2007WAF2007016.1