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- Title
A brief review of ENSO theories and prediction.
- Authors
Fang, Xianghui; Xie, Ruihuang
- Abstract
Although the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) originates and develops in the equatorial Pacific, it has substantial climatic impacts around the globe. Thus, the ability to effectively simulate and predict ENSO one or more seasons in advance is of great societal importance, but this remains a challenging task. The main obstacles are the diversity, complexity, irregularity, and asymmetry of ENSO. The purpose of this article is to organically integrate the understanding of ENSO based on current progress on the physical mechanisms, prediction, and connections between the interannual ENSO phenomenon and physical processes on other time and space scales, and to provide guidance for future studies by extracting specific important questions.
- Subjects
EL Nino; PREDICTION theory; SOUTHERN oscillation; PHENOMENOLOGICAL theory (Physics); SPACETIME; FORECASTING
- Publication
SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences, 2020, Vol 63, Issue 4, p476
- ISSN
1674-7313
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s11430-019-9539-0