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- Title
Sleeping Beauty and the Evidential Centered Principle.
- Authors
Kim, Namjoong
- Abstract
Since Elga published his "Self-locating belief and the Sleeping Beauty problem," there has been an intense debate about which credence between 1/2 and 1/3 Beauty should assign to (H) the coin's landing heads, when she is awakened on Monday. The Halfers claim that she ought to assign 1/2 to H at that moment. The Thirders argue that she ought to assign 1/3 to H then. Meanwhile, Pettigrew defended a new chance-credence coordination principle, called the "Evidential Temporal Principle" (ETP), in a recent edition of his book. In this paper, I provide a novel argument against the Halfer view and a partial defense of the Thirder view, respectively based on ETP. In addition, I generalize ETP to what I call the "Evidential Centered Principle," which links one's credences in centered propositions with their objective chances.
- Subjects
SLEEP; COINS
- Publication
Erkenntnis, 2024, Vol 89, Issue 5, p2073
- ISSN
0165-0106
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/s10670-022-00619-6