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- Title
The Global Distribution of Grazing Dynamics Estimated From Inverse Modeling.
- Authors
Rohr, Tyler; Richardson, Anthony; Lenton, Andrew; Chamberlain, Matthew A.; Shadwick, Elizabeth H.
- Abstract
Grazing dynamics are one of the most poorly constrained components of the marine carbon cycle. We use inverse modeling to infer the distribution of community‐integrated zooplankton grazing dynamics based on the ability of different grazing formulations to recreate the satellite‐observed seasonal cycle in phytoplankton biomass after controlling for physical and bottom‐up controls. We find large spatial variability in the optimal community‐integrated half saturation concentration for grazing (K1/2), with lower (higher) values required in more oligotrophic (eutrophic) biomes. This leads to a strong sigmoidal relationship between observed mean‐annual phytoplankton biomass and the optimally inferred grazing parameterization. This relationship can be used to help constrain, validate and/or parameterize next‐generation biogeochemical models. Plain Language Summary: To improve predictions of the ocean's ability to feed a growing human population and buffer a changing climate, we need to improve our understanding of what happens to carbon once it is absorbed into the surface ocean. One of the largest knowledge gaps in marine carbon cycling is the role of zooplankton grazing. The rate at which zooplankton graze phytoplankton modifies the size and seasonal evolution of phytoplankton populations and in turn, the associated rates of net primary production at the base of the food‐web, secondary production of grazers (an indicator of fisheries potential) and export production (the biological sequestration of carbon). However, regional differences in grazing, which are difficult to measure outside of the laboratory, remain poorly constrained by observations and thus difficult to model. Here, we run a suite of model simulations, which each simulate grazing differently, then compare the results to infer which grazing dynamics best match observations. We find that there is dramatic spatial variability in how zooplankton, as a community, appear to be grazing and that this variability maps well onto observed phytoplankton abundance, suggesting that the type of zooplankton present may be determined by the amount of prey available. Key Points: Oligotrophic (eutrophic) biomes exhibit more (less) efficient community‐integrated grazing, characteristic of micro‐ (meso‐) zooplanktonWe find a strong link between observed mean‐annual phytoplankton biomass and the grazing dynamics required to recreate its seasonal cycleA type III functional response typically does a better job recreating observed phytoplankton seasonal cycles than a type II response
- Subjects
GRAZING; PHYTOPLANKTON populations; CARBON cycle; EUTROPHICATION; CARBON sequestration; MARINE biology; REGIONAL differences
- Publication
Geophysical Research Letters, 2024, Vol 51, Issue 8, p1
- ISSN
0094-8276
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1029/2023GL107732