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- Title
Runoff Trends Analysis and Future Projections of Hydrological Patterns in Small Forested Catchments.
- Authors
LAMAČOVÁ, ANNA; HRUŠKA, JAKUB; KRÁM, PAVEL; STUCHLÍK, EVŽEN; FARDA, ALEŠ; CHUMAN, TOMÁŠ; FOTTOVÁ, DANIELA
- Abstract
The aims of the present study were (i) to evaluate trends in runoff from small forested catchments of the GEOMON (GEOchemical MONitoring) network during the period 1994-2011, and (ii) to estimate the impact of anticipated climate change projected by ALADIN-Climate/CZ regional climate model coupled to ARPEGE-Climate global circulation model and forced with IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario on flow patterns in the periods 2021-2050 and 2071-2100. There were no general patterns found indicating either significant increases or decreases in runoff on either seasonal or annual levels across the investigated catchments within 1994-2011. Annual runoff is projected to decrease by 15% (2021-2050) and 35% (2071-2100) with a significant decrease in summer months and a slight increase in winter months as a result of expected climate change as simulated by the selected climate model.
- Subjects
RUNOFF analysis; CLIMATE change; TREND analysis; SMALL forests; AGRICULTURAL pollution; RESERVOIRS; HYDROLOGIC models
- Publication
Soil & Water Research, 2014, Vol 9, Issue 4, p169
- ISSN
1801-5395
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.17221/110/2013-swr