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- Title
A STUDY ON ARRIVALS AND PRICE BEHAVIOR & FORECASTING OF CHICKPEA IN KRISHI UPAJ MANDIS OF CHHATTISGARH PLAINS.
- Authors
Sonvanee, O. P.; Koshta, A. K.
- Abstract
An attempt has been made in this study to examine the arrivals and price behavior & forecasting of chickpea in Krishi Upaj Mandis of Chhattisgarh plains. Krishi Upaj Mandi (KUM) Bhatapara, KUM Mungeli, KUM Rajnandgaon, KUM Kabirdham and KUM Bemetra were selected on the basis of maximum arrivals of chickpea. The seasonal variations in prices and arrivals of pulses and their seasonal indices was calculated by employing twelve months ratio to moving average method to achieve the behavior. ARIMA model was applied for forecasting of arrivals and prices of chickpea in selected Krishi Upaj Mandis of Chhattisgarh plains. This model also called Box-Jenkins model. The three peak arrivals of chickpea was observed, which was during the month of March (3594.18), April (6326.90) and May (2639.87). However, seasonal indices of prices of chickpea was three peak prices was noticed that is during the month August (97.04), September (186.07) and October (222.89). The finding of study was revealed that the inverse relation between arrivals and prices of chickpea has been observed. Forecasted arrivals of chickpea would be ranging from the minimum 1054.85 tonnes in October, 2018 to the maximum 5459.60 tonnes in March, 2021. Forecasted price of chickpea would be ranging from Rs./qtl 2859.08/- to Rs./qtl 3878.50/- for the months from October 2018 to April 2020. These informations were useful to strengthen their plan and policy makers arrivals to the conclusion on through forecasts of arrivals and prices in future months.
- Subjects
CHHATTISGARH (India); FOOD prices; ECONOMIC seasonal variations; CHICKPEA yields; CHICKPEA varieties
- Publication
Plant Archives (09725210), 2019, Vol 19, Issue 2, p3231
- ISSN
0972-5210
- Publication type
Article