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- Title
Anthropogenic and natural drivers of a strong winter urban heat island in a typical Arctic city.
- Authors
Varentsov, Mikhail; Konstantinov, Pavel; Baklanov, Alexander; Esau, Igor; Miles, Victoria; Davy, Richard
- Abstract
The Arctic has rapidly urbanized in recent decades with two million people currently living in more than a hundred cities north of 65° N. These cities have a harsh but sensitive climate and warming here is the principle driver of destructive thawing, water leakages, air pollution, and other detrimental environmental impacts. This study reports on the urban temperature anomaly in a typical Arctic city. This persistent warm anomaly reaches up to 11 K in winter with the wintertime mean urban temperature being on average 1.9 K higher in the city centre than in the surrounding natural landscape. An urban temperature anomaly, also known as an urban heat island (UHI), was found in remote sensing and in situ temperature data. High-resolution (1 km) model experiments run with and without an urban surface parametrization helped to identify the leading physical and geographical factors supporting a strong temperature anomaly in a cold climate. The statistical analysis and modelling suggest that direct anthropogenic heating contributes at least 50 % to the observed UHI intensity, and the rest is created by natural microclimatic variability over the undulating relief of the area. The current UHI effect can be as large as the projected, and already amplified, warming for the region in the 21st century. In contrast to earlier reports, this study found that the wintertime UHI in the Arctic should be largely attributed to direct anthropogenic heating. This is a strong argument in support of energy efficiency measures, urban climate change mitigation policy, and against high-density urban development in polar settlements. The complex pattern of thermal conditions, as revealed in this study, challenges urban planners to account for the observed micro-climatic diversity in perspective sustainable development solutions.
- Subjects
ARCTIC regions; GLOBAL warming; URBAN temperature; ANTHROPOGENIC effects on nature; CLIMATE change; URBAN planners; SUSTAINABLE development
- Publication
Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics Discussions, 2018, p1
- ISSN
1680-7367
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.5194/acp-2018-569