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- Title
Data preprocessing and data parsimony in corporate failure forecast models: evidence from Australian materials industry.
- Authors
Wu, Weiping; Lee, Vincent Cheng Siong; Tan, Ting Yean
- Abstract
The present study, based on data for delisted and active corporations in the Australian materials industry, is an attempt to develop a systematic way of selecting corporate failure-related features. We empirically tested the proposed procedure using three datasets. The first dataset contains 82 financial economic factors from the corporation's financial statement. The second dataset comprises 73 relevant financial ratios, which either directly or indirectly measure a corporation's propensity to fail, and are conciliated from the first dataset. The third dataset is a parsimonious dataset obtained from the application of combining a filter and a wrapper to preprocess the first dataset. The robustness of this preprocessed dataset is tested by comparing its performance with the first and second datasets in two statistical (logistic regression and naïve-Bayes) and two machine learning (decision tree, neural network) classes of prediction models. Tests for prediction accuracies and reliabilities, using the computational (ROC curve, AUC) and the statistical (Cochran's Q statistic) criteria show that the third dataset outperforms the other two datasets in all four predicting models, achieving various accuracies ranges from 81 per cent to 84 per cent.
- Subjects
FINANCIAL statements; FINANCIAL ratios; LISTING of securities; MACHINE learning; DECISION trees; ARTIFICIAL neural networks
- Publication
Accounting & Finance, 2006, Vol 46, Issue 2, p327
- ISSN
0810-5391
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1111/j.1467-629X.2006.00170.x