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- Title
POWER IN THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT: WHAT WILL CHANGE?
- Authors
Holler, Manfred J.; Kellermann, Johann
- Abstract
The article discusses the power in the European Parliament. The European Parliament agreed upon holding direct elections. It announced elections for the European Parliament to take place in the Spring of 1978. It was simultaneously decided to increase the number of seats of this institution from 198 to 410. It is interesting to ask what effects these changes in the number and distribution of seats will have. In this context the decision structure of the European Parliament was reduced to a weighted majority game, in which the national seat quotas are looked upon as singular decision units. The Shapley values are determined by estimating the probability of a single unit becoming pivotal in transforming a losing coalition into a winning one when the final winning coalition is built up by random selections from among the players. In an existing voting body the formation of coalitions is not random. The Shapley value is therefore a rather crude measure. As it abstracts from all sociological, psychological, economic and political influence to the formation of coalitions, it is far removed from reality.
- Subjects
BALANCE of power; EUROPEAN Parliament; ELECTIONS; COALITIONS; RANDOM numbers; VOTING
- Publication
Quality & Quantity, 1977, Vol 11, Issue 2, p189
- ISSN
0033-5177
- Publication type
Article
- DOI
10.1007/BF00151910